Gimnastic Tarragona 4-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/3.46
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Union
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
10.02.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
18.11.2023 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
30.04.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
27.11.2022 Real Union Real Union 2-3 HT 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
03.05.2010 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
4-1
AWAY Real Union
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona cruised past Real Union 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 57% of the ball to Real Union's 43%, shots finished 24-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.33 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union?

Gimnastic Tarragona 4-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 56%, draw 24%, Real Union 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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