Real Madrid II 0-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.94/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.88
+41% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Ceuta
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
04.02.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
29.10.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
07.05.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-3 HT 0-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
15.01.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-2 HT 0-2 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
0-1
AWAY Ceuta
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta edged past Real Madrid II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ceuta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 47% of the ball to Ceuta's 53%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ceuta led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Real Madrid II and 2.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Ceuta?

Real Madrid II 0-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 37%, draw 30%, Ceuta 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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