Gimnastica Segoviana 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
14%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 23% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.68
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
326 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana İS3
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana and Barakaldo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs Barakaldo?

Gimnastica Segoviana 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 31%, draw 27%, Barakaldo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barakaldo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Apr 2025
13:00 Sestao River vs Ourense CF Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid II vs Ceuta Analysis →
13:00 Sevilla II vs Real Betis II Analysis →
16:30 Tarazona vs Ponferradina Analysis →
16:30 Merida AD vs Antequera Analysis →
18:00 Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union Analysis →