Antequera 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
0.89/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
-35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Antequera Antequera 2-2 HT 1-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
07.10.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.04.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS4
14.11.2021 Antequera Antequera 0-2 HT 0-2 Merida AD Merida AD İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antequera
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Antequera at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Antequera had 53% of the ball to Merida AD's 47%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antequera and 1.25 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Merida AD?

Antequera 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Antequera 45%, draw 29%, Merida AD 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Antequera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antequera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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