Real Valladolid II 3-4 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.12
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
16.03.2025 Bergantinos Bergantinos 3-2 HT 0-2 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
03.11.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
19.02.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
02.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
3-4
AWAY Bergantinos
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos edged past Real Valladolid II 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Valladolid II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 47% of the ball to Bergantinos's 53%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.80 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos?

Real Valladolid II 3-4 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 43%, draw 24%, Bergantinos 33%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Valladolid II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
5 Apr 2026
12:30 RSD Alcala vs Las Palmas II Analysis →
12:30 Getafe II vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Socuellamos vs Tenerife II Analysis →
13:00 Intercity Alicante vs SS Reyes Analysis →
13:00 Almeria II vs Lorca Deportiva Analysis →
13:00 Deportiva Minera vs UCAM Murcia Analysis →