Bergantinos 1-0 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.36/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.39
+11% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Bergantinos Bergantinos 3-2 HT 0-2 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
03.11.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
19.02.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
02.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos edged past Real Valladolid II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bergantinos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Bergantinos and 1.50 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II?

Bergantinos 1-0 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 45%, draw 28%, Real Valladolid II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergantinos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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