Bergantinos 3-2 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.05/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.11
-19% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
19.02.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
02.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos nicked a narrow win over Real Valladolid II 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Bergantinos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bergantinos and 1.33 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II?

Bergantinos 3-2 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 39%, draw 30%, Real Valladolid II 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergantinos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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