Albirex Niigata (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.08
-100% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
23.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
14.10.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
18.05.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 38% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 62%, shots finished 4-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 29%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
5 Apr 2026
08:00 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K) Analysis →
08:00 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Analysis →
08:00 Mynavi Sendai (K) vs JEF United (K) Analysis →