FK Panevezys 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +27%
1.16/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.84
-5% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-4 HT 0-3 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
08.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
13.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
12.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
18.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai squeezed past FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 48% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.67 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

FK Panevezys 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 45%, draw 29%, Dziugas Telsiai 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5
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