Zalgiris Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 43%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.72
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
04.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
17.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
06.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
22.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 HT 4-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.07.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0-3
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris cruised past Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 50% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 50%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Zalgiris Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 38%, draw 21%, Kauno Zalgiris 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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