Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.58
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.92
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones Negros Udeg The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Monarcas Morelia The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-3 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.05.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
04.05.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
21.03.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
06.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
05.04.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2 - 0
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leones Negros Udeg took care of Monarcas Morelia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 28% / 37%); Leones Negros Udeg picked one for it. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Monarcas Morelia saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 6-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Leones Negros Udeg against 0.83 for Monarcas Morelia.

Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia Result & Final Score

Leones Negros Udeg 2 - 0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 35%, draw 28%, Monarcas Morelia 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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