Monterey Bay vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
5-0
HT 2-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Monterey Bay 0-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Monterey Bay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 59% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 41%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.02 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.00 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Indy Eleven?
Monterey Bay 0-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 42%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.