Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.31/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.09
+11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2025 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
18.10.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-0 HT 3-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca CONOAK
25.07.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 3-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 65%, draw 22%, Guanacasteca 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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