Krylya Sovetov 1-3 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
8.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 24% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.53
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
18%
5.9
X/2
11%
6.12
X/X
12%
5.43
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
14%
3.73
2/X
11%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.47
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.1 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.57 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-6 HT 2-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
28.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 5-1 HT 3-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
17.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
18.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.02.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
29.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.57 xG 2.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
407 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 15
42 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dinamo Moscow beat Krylya Sovetov 3-1 away from home in the Russia - Premier League on 5 May 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 61% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 39%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.57 to 2.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 3.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Krylya Sovetov 1-3 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 28%, Dinamo Moscow 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →