Kuzey Kore 2-2 Kırgızistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 33% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırgızistan EU Bookmakers 39%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Kore
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kırgızistan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
348 Passes 187
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
28 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 Kırgızistan Kırgızistan 1-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Kore
2-2
AWAY Kırgızistan
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Kore vs Kırgızistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Kore and Kırgızistan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Kore had 44% of the ball to Kırgızistan's 56%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Kuzey Kore vs Kırgızistan?

Kuzey Kore 2-2 Kırgızistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Kore vs Kırgızistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Kore 38%, draw 30%, Kırgızistan 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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