Adelaide United II 4-2 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.0pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.95
+19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
370 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
12.04.2025 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.06.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-4 HT 2-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
08.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
19.09.2020 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
18.07.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 3-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II got the better of Para Hills Knights 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide United II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Para Hills Knights led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.20 for Para Hills Knights.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights?

Adelaide United II 4-2 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 49%, draw 24%, Para Hills Knights 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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