VPS 0-2 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.12
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.19
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
7%
7.94
X/2
8%
5.04
X/X
12%
5.91
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
26%
2.58
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 52%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.32/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.03
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
17.5 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.95 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
270 Passes 475
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
20.09.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
01.09.2024 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.05.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
08.10.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 2-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
19.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
0-2
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.02 xG 2.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
360 Passes 397
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki saw off VPS 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 50% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.02 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 2.33 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of VPS vs HJK Helsinki?

VPS 0-2 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split VPS 29%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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