Elfsborg vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals
Elfsborg vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Elfsborg
İSÇ
2-0
HT 1-0
Hammarby
İSÇ
Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics
Hammarby edged past Elfsborg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.77 to 1.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Elfsborg and 1.50 for Hammarby.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Hammarby?
Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Hammarby?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 31%, draw 26%, Hammarby 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.