Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.77
2-3 Goals
37%
2.18
4-5 Goals
27%
2.44
6+ Goals
15%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.89
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.54
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
6%
7.79
2/1
10%
17.7
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
6%
16.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.54 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.91/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.67
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
23.0 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
462 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.09.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.04.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
13.08.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
23.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-0
AWAY Elfsborg
2.02 xG 0.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
476 Passes 279
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby cruised past Elfsborg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Hammarby had 61% of the ball to Elfsborg's 39%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.02 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hammarby and 0.67 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Elfsborg?

Hammarby 3-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 61%, draw 19%, Elfsborg 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
9 Nov 2025
17:00 IK Sirius vs IFK Varnamo Analysis →
17:00 Göteborg vs Norrköping Analysis →
17:00 Mjallby vs Hacken Analysis →
17:00 Malmö FF vs GAIS Analysis →
17:00 Östers vs Djurgarden Analysis →
17:00 Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors Analysis →