Brommapojkarna 1-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
13%
7.45
X/2
21%
4.82
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
18%
2.67
2/X
4%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 51%
-18% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.24/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.00
-39% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
23.9 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Degerfors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
280 Passes 436
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 0-3 HT 0-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
29.07.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
05.10.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
11.05.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-3 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
02.09.2017 Degerfors Degerfors 3-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
1-3
AWAY Degerfors
0.72 xG 2.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
369 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors beat Brommapojkarna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 57% of the ball to Degerfors's 43%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.72 to 2.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?

Brommapojkarna 1-3 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 29%, draw 22%, Degerfors 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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