Östers 1-3 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 9 Nov 2025

Östers
1-3 HT 1-0
Djurgarden
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Östers vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
19%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 28% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.2
1/2
7%
21.0
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
9%
7.93
X/2
20%
5.03
X/X
12%
5.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
20%
2.58
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 52%
-23% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.33/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.16
-30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
22.5 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Östers vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.25 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 15
281 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 45
19 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.04.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
03.11.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.06.2013 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
30.10.2006 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
14.05.2006 Östers Östers 0-3 HT 0-3 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
20.10.2004 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK

Östers 1-3 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
1-3
AWAY Djurgarden
2.60 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
258 Passes 327
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 23
34 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Östers vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden beat Östers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Östers had 46% of the ball to Djurgarden's 54%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.60 to 1.17 — on chances, Östers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Östers and 1.83 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Östers vs Djurgarden?

Östers 1-3 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Östers 28%, draw 24%, Djurgarden 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Under 2.5
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