Göteborg 1-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.65
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
14%
7.47
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.65
2/2
13%
5.27
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
-12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.0 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AIK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
268 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.06.2025 AIK AIK 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.10.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
27.05.2024 AIK AIK 5-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
06.11.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
15.05.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-2
AWAY AIK
1.10 xG 1.47
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
329 Passes 321
29 Box Touches 27
38 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past Göteborg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Göteborg and 2.33 for AIK.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs AIK?

Göteborg 1-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 40%, draw 26%, AIK 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Göteborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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