Kalmar 3-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
4.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 21% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.66
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
15%
3.93
X/2
4%
14.15
X/X
9%
7.0
2/1
13%
20.25
2/2
5%
11.35
2/X
5%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Kalmar win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -24%
1.53/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.01
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.0 Crosses 11.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
01.11.2025 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ2
22.06.2025 Kalmar Kalmar 2-3 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
23.02.2020 Kalmar Kalmar 3-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
03.10.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 4-2 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
21.05.2009 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
3-0
AWAY Örgryte
2.25 xG 0.90
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
533 Passes 379
35 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar cruised past Örgryte 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.25 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kalmar and 1.50 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Kalmar 3-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 67%, draw 19%, Örgryte 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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