Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
46%
+10.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.86
+23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
21.03.2026 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-2 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
07.09.2025 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-2 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNSW
19.07.2025 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 6-3 HT 4-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
06.04.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
06.07.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-2 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
31.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden and NWS Spirit shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rockdale Ilinden at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.67 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 56%, draw 21%, NWS Spirit 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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