Brisbane City 1-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒08:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.32
No
33%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.0pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.52
+2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.7 Crosses 12.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2026 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
26.08.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
18.05.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
26.05.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
24.02.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
04.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City and Brisbane Roar II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brisbane City and 0.67 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II?

Brisbane City 1-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 52%, draw 18%, Brisbane Roar II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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