Jeonnam Dragons 3-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.31/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.72
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.9 Crosses 19.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.06.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
05.04.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
21.11.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.09.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
20.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3-3
AWAY Busan I Park
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
364 Passes 339
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons and Busan I Park shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 16-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.17 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Jeonnam Dragons 3-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 30%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ BTTS Yes
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