FA Siauliai 0-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
59%
Away Win
60%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 64%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -27%
1.48/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.05
+50% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2026 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
07.03.2026 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.10.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
11.08.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
13.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
12.04.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius cruised past FA Siauliai 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.33 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FA Siauliai 0-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 19%, draw 21%, Zalgiris Vilnius 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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