Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.1pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
-7% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.10.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
11.08.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
13.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
12.04.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
06.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius saw off FA Siauliai 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 64%, draw 19%, FA Siauliai 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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