Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.69/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.87
+38% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
21.09.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.08.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 3-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
10.05.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.09.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past FK Panevezys 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Hegelmann Litauen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 39%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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