FK Panevezys 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.52
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.09.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
04.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
18.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
3-0
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys ran out comfortable winners over Hegelmann Litauen 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; FK Panevezys found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 47% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 53%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.83 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Panevezys 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 36%, draw 27%, Hegelmann Litauen 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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