Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.49/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.83
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
04.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
18.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over FK Panevezys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 53% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 47%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.00 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 49%, draw 25%, FK Panevezys 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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