FK Panevezys 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.77/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
-40% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.08.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 3-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
10.05.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.09.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
04.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys and Hegelmann Litauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.50 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Panevezys 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 41%, draw 26%, Hegelmann Litauen 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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