Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
0.96/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.90
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
17.08.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
09.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
08.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 21%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5
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