Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.09/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.23
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +75%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
09.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
08.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kauno Zalgiris edged past Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21 Sep 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 58% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 42%, shots finished 11-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 66%, draw 20%, Dziugas Telsiai 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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