05/07/2026
·
02:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
22%
Draw
21%
17%
Away Win
16%
47%
Under 2.5
44%
53%
Over 2.5
56%
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
49%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rhode Island
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Orange County SC
EU Bookmakers 19%
-17% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+0%
1.52/0.75
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.13/1.39
-27%
/
+21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+1%
/
+19%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
3
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 74%
29.4
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0
22.8
Crosses
15.4
2.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rhode Island
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Orange County SC
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
1.75
xG
0.97
50%
Ball Possession
50%
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
431
Passes
444
87%
Pass Accuracy
86%
27
Box Touches
15
26
Crosses
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
Rhode Island 1-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Rhode Island
1-1
AWAY
Orange County SC
1.83
xG
0.14
24
Total Shots
2
3
Shots on Target
1
10
Corners
2
229
Passes
349
44
Box Touches
9
29
Crosses
8
3
Yellow Cards
2
FAQ
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Rhode Island and Orange County SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 1.83 to 0.14.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Rhode Island 1-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 60%, draw 22%, Orange County SC 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Rhode Island)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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