Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-4 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington ran out comfortable winners over Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 3.23 to 1.22.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-4 Lexington in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 55%, draw 26%, Lexington 19%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Under 2.5 went the other way.