Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-4 Lexington — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies WWDLW→
1 - 4 HT 0 - 3
Lexington LWDWD→
📅05/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-2 · 4-1 — 5% together
USL Championship – 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 15:33
Match Result
HomeVIEW
60%
1.63
Draw
23%
3.81
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.98
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.57
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.04
6+
6%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Lexington The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lexington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
463 Passes 359
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Lexington Lexington 1-1 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-4 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 4
AWAY Lexington
3.23 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
428 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lexington cruised past Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-3. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

This one beat our numbers. Tampa Bay Rowdies carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 57% of the ball to Lexington's 43%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 3.23 to 1.22 — by the quality of chances, Tampa Bay Rowdies deserved more.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Result & Final Score

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 4 Lexington in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 60%, draw 23%, Lexington 17%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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