Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Louisville City 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City edged past Hartford Athletic 1-0 in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.
On the day, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.33 to 0.36.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Louisville City and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City 1-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 59%, draw 21%, Hartford Athletic 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.