Colorado Springs 3-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.68/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.9 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
343 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLKP
24.08.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 4-1 HT 3-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
04.05.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 0-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
04.08.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
14.04.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
15.10.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.34 xG 0.20
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
373 Passes 168
25 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Colorado Springs beat Phoenix Rising 3-1 in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.34 to 0.20.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Colorado Springs 3-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 52%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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