Colorado Springs 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.53
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.3 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
14.04.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
15.10.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
23.07.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
04.09.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
31.07.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 4-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.30 xG 3.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
326 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and Phoenix Rising couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 55% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 45%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.30 to 3.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Colorado Springs 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 50%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
4 May 2025
00:00 Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Detroit City Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Analysis →
04:00 El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United Analysis →
05:00 Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa Analysis →