El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 3-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive ran out comfortable winners over New Mexico United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; El Paso Locomotive found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 40% of the ball to New Mexico United's 60%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.16 to 0.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
El Paso Locomotive 3-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 39%, draw 30%, New Mexico United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.