Charleston Battery 4-2 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.72
+35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.5 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.70 xG 1.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
393 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
05.05.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
18.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-4 HT 2-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
09.04.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
02.10.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 6-3 HT 3-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
17.07.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
4-2
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.39 xG 1.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
420 Passes 243
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery saw off Hartford Athletic 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 61% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 39%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.39 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Charleston Battery and 2.33 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic?

Charleston Battery 4-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 55%, draw 22%, Hartford Athletic 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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