Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Tampa Bay Rowdies and Birmingham Legion with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
File this under upsets: a 56% lean on Tampa Bay Rowdies went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Tampa Bay Rowdies had 47% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 53%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.88 to 1.96.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.17 for Birmingham Legion.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.