Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Birmingham Legion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 47% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 53%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.88 to 1.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.17 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 51%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.