Indy Eleven 2-2 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +18%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.96
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.6 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.63 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
23.05.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-0 HT 3-0 Detroit City Detroit City ABDK
31.03.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-2 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
01.10.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
25.03.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
04.09.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
2-2
AWAY Detroit City
1.27 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven and Detroit City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 41% of the ball to Detroit City's 59%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.33 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Indy Eleven 2-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 36%, draw 26%, Detroit City 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Detroit City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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