Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orange County SC v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Orange County SC
USLP
5-1
HT 5-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
3-5
HT 2-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
Orange County SC 2-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC edged past FC Tulsa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Orange County SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orange County SC had 53% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 47%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.73 to 1.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orange County SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Orange County SC and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
Orange County SC 2-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 38%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.