Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.32
-27% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.9 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W-3D-2L
AWAY North Carolina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
23.06.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
19.05.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
18.08.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 5-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
21.07.2019 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
29.07.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 2-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-2
AWAY North Carolina
1.01 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 263
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina got the better of Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 52% of the ball to North Carolina's 48%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, North Carolina led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.50 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 40%, draw 30%, North Carolina 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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