Orange County SC 1-0 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
12%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.02
-2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
15.4 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
1-0
AWAY Rhode Island
0.97 xG 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 431
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC edged past Rhode Island 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Orange County SC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Orange County SC had 50% of the ball to Rhode Island's 50%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.97 to 1.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rhode Island.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Rhode Island?

Orange County SC 1-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 34%, draw 28%, Rhode Island 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
15 Sep 2024
02:00 Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion Analysis →
02:00 Detroit City vs New Mexico United Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →
03:00 Colorado Springs vs Charleston Battery Analysis →