Fakel 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Aug 2026

Fakel
0-1 HT 0-0
Dinamo Moscow
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Russia - Cup – 2026/2027

Fakel vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fakel v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 49%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.31/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.86
-69% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Fakel vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
20.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 3-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
10.12.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
08.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
28.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
30.07.2022 Fakel Fakel 3-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS

Fakel 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow nicked a narrow win over Fakel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fakel and 1.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Dinamo Moscow?

Fakel 0-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fakel 27%, draw 24%, Dinamo Moscow 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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