Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.44
No
46%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
37%
+16.8pp
46%
BTTS No
63%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.80/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.57
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.20 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUSK
27.02.2026 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
14.09.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.06.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
04.11.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.17 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 63%, draw 20%, Baltika Kaliningrad 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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