Krasnodar 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
52%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.63/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/3.06
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 205
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
19.04.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUSK
02.10.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 HT 2-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
15.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar and FC Akhmat Grozny couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Krasnodar carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krasnodar 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 59%, draw 22%, FC Akhmat Grozny 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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