Krasnodar 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.4
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.4
X/2
7%
8.98
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
13%
7.22
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
2.15/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
+19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
11.2 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
471 Passes 172
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUSK
02.10.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 HT 2-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
15.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
21.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.05.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
16.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
3-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.16 xG 1.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
311 Passes 163
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar beat FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 63% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 37%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.16 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krasnodar and 1.33 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krasnodar 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 48%, draw 26%, FC Akhmat Grozny 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ BTTS Yes
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